The geek’s March Madness, revisited
Since we’re gearing up to watch the Elite Eight games to see who makes it to the Final Four, I wanted to revisit how our geek’s March Madness picks panned out. Obviously enough, our choices aren’t going to help anyone win their pool–Kansas, BYU, Wake Forest, and Duke (the lone remaining contender)–though this group didn’t fare any worse than my actual picks. And I still can’t figure out how Kansas let us down!
To make our picks, we used numbers from this poll conducted by the Institute for Diversity and Ethics in Sport, which accounted for graduation rates (GSR) and something called “Academic Progress Rate” (APR), along with a more subjective sense of academic reputation. For all the details on our how we came up with our semi-academic measure for making our picks, go here; to see bracket-by-bracket analysis, go here and here, too.)
Here are how the Elite Eight fare, according to our academic power poll (listed alphabetically). Note that the graduation rates among the eight teams is not stellar, though some of the programs are probably impacted by early entry by underclassmen in the NBA draft. Also, an Academic Progress Rate (APR) of 925 or lower could put a program at risk of losing scholarships:
Baylor: 989 (out of 1000) APR / 36% GSR
Butler: 964 APR / 90% GSR
Duke: 989 APR / 92% GSR
Kansas State: 900 APR / 62% GSR
Kentucky: 979 APR / 31% GSR
Michigan State: 985 APR / 58% GSR
Tennessee: 924 APR / 30% GSR
West Virginia: 960 APR / 44% GSR
Have a good weekend watching the games!
“U.S. President Barack Obama picks his winners for the 2009 NCAA Men’s Division I Basketball Tournament” by Pete Souza from Wikimedia Commons, courtesy of the Executive Office of the President of the United States, public domain
The geek’s version of March Madness, East and Southeast Regions
Hope you enjoyed the first day of March Madness, which featured a pretty good number of nailbiters (sorry, Vandy fans) and more OT games in a single day than I can remember. Just in case you don’t have an alma mater in the tourney or don’t have a rooting interest, we’re providing a handy guide on who you can pull for if you care about academics and graduation rates — and want a team that could win a few games. (By the way, I’m 12 for 16 in my bracket, and winning the group I’m in!) For the guidelines, go here.
East Bracket — Winner: Wake Forest
Summary: Lucky for us, Wake pulled out a great last-shot win in OT against U Texas, after trailing by 8 points with a few minutes left. The team with a 963 Academic Progress Rate (APR) and 100% graduation rate (GSR) beat the highly esteemed and very large state university, which had a stronger 975 APR, but a lower 42% GSR (which was probably Kevin Durant’s fault for leaving after his frosh year). The bracket’s other top contender, Marquette, with its 970 APR/100% GSR didn’t far so well, losing by 2 to U-Dub. Interestingly, this bracket features a number of large state universities, some with very strong reputations that underachieve a bit in APR and GSR:
U Kentucky: 949 APR/31% GSR
U Wisconsin: 933 APR/78% GSR
U Washington: 956 APR/29% GSR
U New Mexico: 909 APR/43% GSR
Mizzou: 959 APR/36% GSR
Cornell is in this bracket and would be in the running, but I deem them ineligible for not providing any grad rate data.
Southeast Bracket — Winner: Duke (UGH!)
Summary: Let the hating begin, but it’s hard to deny that Duke enjoys a rare blend of academic reputation and basketball legacy–and snotty whining on the court. The numbers don’t lie, either: 989 APR/92% GSR, and that’s with rosters with plenty of draftable underclassman talent. You’d think it would be more of a walk here, but Notre Dame–the Duke of football–(982 APR/100% GSR) and Villanova (985 APR/92% GSR and maybe even more recent basketball success than Duke) give the Dukies a pretty good scare, actually.
Otherwise, the biggest surprise in this region is just how disappointing the mighty UC Berkeley is! Perhaps the most academically accomplished school in the country can only muster a puny 944 APR/20%(!) GSR, bested by its first-round opponent Louisville with a 965 APR/38% GSR.
It’s not a good idea in any way to bet on a Kansas-BYU-Wake Forest-Duke Final Four (though KU and Duke are prime picks), but, if you do hit paydirt using the geek method, give us a cut, won’t you? We’ll recap how the nerds did next week, and give you our Final Four picks then!